TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single professional AHL (American Hockey League) game between the Hershey Bears and Toronto Marlies scheduled for February 18, 2026 at 11:00 AM EST. Both Polymarket and Kalshi have created prediction markets on the outcome of this game, with resolution tied to the final score including overtime and shootouts.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's binary Yes/No market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Hershey Bears win OR Toronto Marlies win) resolve to Yes, with no defined path to a No resolution. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as a binary prediction.Hero Tip:
Trade Polymarket's version instead. Kalshi's market structure is broken and should not be used until corrected. The platform likely intended a binary market on a specific team (e.g., 'Will Hershey Bears win?') but the current wording guarantees Yes regardless of outcome.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three-way outcome market with clear resolution paths: resolves to 'Hershey Bears' if Hershey wins, 'Toronto Marlies' if Toronto wins, or 50-50 if game is canceled with no makeup. Includes explicit shootout rule (one goal added to winner's score). Source: theahl.com official schedule.Kalshi:
Binary Yes/No market with critical logical flaw. States 'If Hershey Bears wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Toronto Marlies wins...resolves to Yes', creating impossible scenario where both outcomes map to same resolution. No resolution condition for No is defined.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.