TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This market resolves based on the winner of the AHL regular season game between Henderson Silver Knights and Tucson Roadrunners scheduled for April 17, 2026 at 10:00 PM EDT. The winner is determined by the final score including overtime and shootout periods, with shootout victories counted as a 1-goal margin for settlement purposes.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market logic is logically contradictory and unresolvable: it resolves YES if Henderson wins AND YES if Tucson wins, making it impossible for the market to resolve NO under any outcome. Polymarket has coherent binary logic (Henderson YES or Tucson YES, with 50-50 cancellation clause), but Kalshi's dual-YES structure violates fundamental market design.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. It contains a fatal logical flaw that makes settlement impossible. The market will likely be voided or face emergency intervention. Polymarket is the only tradeable venue for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Binary winner-take-all structure: resolves to 'Henderson Silver Knights' if Henderson wins, or 'Tucson Roadrunners' if Tucson wins. Includes explicit edge case: if game is canceled with no makeup, market resolves 50-50. Resolution includes overtime and shootout outcomes (one goal added to winner's score for shootout resolution).Kalshi:
Logically incoherent: states 'If Henderson Silver Knights wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Tucson Roadrunners wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This means the market resolves YES regardless of which team wins, leaving no outcome path to NO resolution. No cancellation, postponement, or edge case logic provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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