TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$236,615,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,344,513,070
577,941
Markets across
14,530
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,090
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional AHL (American Hockey League) matchup between the Colorado Eagles and Ontario Reign scheduled for March 11, 2026 at 10:00 PM EDT. Both Polymarket and Kalshi have created prediction markets around the outcome of this single game, with resolution tied to the final score including overtime and shootout results.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market documentation uses ambiguous dual-Yes language that contradicts standard binary sports market structure, while Polymarket clearly defines mutually exclusive outcomes. This creates documentation risk rather than settlement risk, since only one team can win the game.Hero Tip:
For trading purposes, treat this as a standard binary sports outcome: Colorado Eagles win OR Ontario Reign wins, with no third outcome possible. The game cannot end in a tie in professional hockey (shootouts determine a winner). Both platforms should resolve to the same winner; the divergence is purely in how Kalshi documented the market conditions, not in actual settlement logic.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Clear binary structure with mutually exclusive outcomes. Resolves to team name of winner. Includes explicit edge case handling: postponement keeps market open, cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Key Quote: 'If Colorado Eagles win, the market will resolve to Colorado Eagles. If Ontario Reign win, the market will resolve to Ontario Reign.'Kalshi:
Documentation states both outcomes resolve to Yes, creating logical ambiguity. Standard Kalshi Yes/No format suggests this should be a binary market, but the dual-Yes phrasing is non-standard. Key Quote: 'If Ontario Reign wins...resolves to Yes. If Colorado Eagles wins...resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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