TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single professional AHL (American Hockey League) matchup between the Cleveland Monsters and Toronto Marlies scheduled for March 17, 2026 at 1:30 PM EDT. Both Kalshi and Polymarket are pricing the outcome of this game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootouts.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (either team winning) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard binary sports resolution with proper outcome differentiation.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's version of this market. The resolution logic guarantees the market will resolve Yes regardless of game outcome, which violates basic prediction market principles. Polymarket's market is the only tradeable version with valid resolution mechanics.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Both Toronto Marlies victory and Cleveland Monsters victory are mapped to Yes resolution. This creates a tautology where the market outcome is predetermined and independent of actual game result. Key Quote: If Toronto Marlies wins resolves Yes; If Cleveland Monsters wins resolves Yes.Polymarket:
Standard binary outcome: Cleveland Monsters win resolves to Cleveland Monsters, Toronto Marlies win resolves to Toronto Marlies. Includes postponement handling (market remains open) and cancellation handling (50-50 split). Shootout goals are counted as one goal for the winning team.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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