TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single AHL (American Hockey League) regular season game between the Cleveland Monsters and Hartford Wolf Pack scheduled for March 13, 2026. Both Polymarket and Kalshi have created markets to predict the outcome of this matchup.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both mutually exclusive outcomes (Cleveland Monsters win AND Hartford Wolf Pack win) are mapped to the same resolution value (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading Kalshi until the platform clarifies the intended resolution logic. The market as currently defined cannot distinguish between the two possible outcomes. Polymarket's binary structure is logically sound and should be preferred.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Binary winner-take-all market with clear mutually exclusive outcomes. Resolves to team name of winner based on final score including overtime and shootouts. Cancellation without makeup game resolves 50-50. Postponements keep market open until completion.Kalshi:
Market definition contains logical error: both Cleveland Monsters winning and Hartford Wolf Pack winning are stated to resolve to Yes, creating an unresolvable contradiction since only one team can win.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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