TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single AHL (American Hockey League) matchup between the Cleveland Monsters and Hartford Wolf Pack scheduled for March 11, 2026 at 7:00 PM EDT. Both Polymarket and Kalshi are offering prediction markets on the outcome of this game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootout results.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Hartford wins OR Cleveland wins) are mapped to Yes resolution, leaving no valid path to No resolution under normal game completion. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as specified.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi until the market definition is corrected. Request clarification on whether Kalshi intends a standard binary (one team Yes, other No) or if No resolution is reserved for postponement/cancellation only. Polymarket's market is logically sound and should be preferred.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Binary outcome market with clear resolution paths: Cleveland Monsters win resolves to Cleveland Monsters, Hartford Wolf Pack win resolves to Hartford Wolf Pack. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Includes shootout handling (one goal added to winner's score).Kalshi:
Market states: If Hartford wins, resolves Yes. If Cleveland wins, resolves Yes. No explicit No condition is defined for normal game completion, creating a logical impossibility where both outcomes map to the same resolution state.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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