TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single professional AHL (American Hockey League) game between the Charlotte Checkers and Rochester Americans scheduled for April 1, 2026 at 7:05 PM EDT. Both Kalshi and Polymarket are offering markets on the outcome of this game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootouts.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market has a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Rochester win and Charlotte win) are mapped to Yes resolution, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly implements mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market in its current form—it cannot be properly settled. The market structure violates basic binary logic. Polymarket's market is the only tradeable option until Kalshi corrects its resolution criteria.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Logical contradiction: both Rochester Americans win and Charlotte Checkers win resolve to Yes. This leaves no valid resolution path for a No outcome. Quote: 'If Rochester Americans wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Charlotte Checkers wins...resolves to Yes'.Polymarket:
Proper binary structure with mutually exclusive outcomes: Charlotte Checkers win resolves to Charlotte Checkers, Rochester Americans win resolves to Rochester Americans. Handles postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Quote: 'If Charlotte Checkers win, the market will resolve to Charlotte Checkers. If Rochester Americans win, the market will resolve to Rochester Americans'.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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