TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single professional AHL (American Hockey League) game between the Calgary Wranglers and Manitoba Moose scheduled for February 16, 2026 at 3:00 PM EST. Markets across platforms are betting on the outcome of this game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootouts.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Manitoba Moose win and Calgary Wranglers win) are specified to resolve to Yes, making the binary market fundamentally unresolvable and internally inconsistent.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading Kalshi until the market is corrected. The market structure violates basic binary logic. Use Polymarket as the reliable source: Calgary Wranglers win resolves to Calgary Wranglers, Manitoba Moose win resolves to Manitoba Moose, with explicit postponement and cancellation protocols.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Both outcomes trigger Yes: If Manitoba Moose wins, resolves Yes. If Calgary Wranglers wins, resolves Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where the market cannot resolve to No under any circumstance.Polymarket:
Mutually exclusive outcome resolution: Calgary Wranglers win resolves to Calgary Wranglers, Manitoba Moose win resolves to Manitoba Moose. Includes explicit edge case handling: postponement keeps market open until completion, cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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