TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$236,615,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,344,513,070
577,941
Markets across
14,530
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,090
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a professional AHL (American Hockey League) game between the Belleville Senators and Utica Comets scheduled for March 6, 2026 at 7:00 PM EST. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking which team will win this matchup, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootout results.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is internally contradictory: both possible game outcomes (Utica win and Belleville win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), leaving no valid path to a No resolution. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as specified.Hero Tip:
Treat Polymarket as the reliable source. Kalshi's market appears to have a critical design flaw. Before trading Kalshi, confirm with the platform whether this is a documentation error or if the market is actually asking a different question (e.g., 'Will the game be completed?' rather than 'Will Utica win?'). Do not assume Kalshi will resolve correctly without explicit clarification.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Binary outcome market with three explicit resolution paths: Belleville Senators win resolves to 'Belleville Senators', Utica Comets win resolves to 'Utica Comets', game cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Postponements keep market open. Key Quote: 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts.'Kalshi:
Dual affirmative structure with logical contradiction. Both 'If Utica Comets wins...then resolves to Yes' and 'If Belleville Senators wins...then resolves to Yes' map to identical outcome. No explicit No resolution condition provided. Key Quote: 'If [either team] wins the...game...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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