TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single professional AHL (American Hockey League) game between the Bakersfield Condors and Ontario Reign scheduled for April 4, 2026 at 9:00 PM EDT. Markets on both Kalshi and Polymarket are betting on the outcome of this matchup, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootouts.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market resolves YES for both possible game outcomes (Bakersfield win and Ontario win), creating a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly maps outcomes to winner-specific resolution values.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market is broken and should not be traded. The YES/NO binary is misconfigured—both outcomes cannot resolve to YES. Polymarket's categorical resolution (Bakersfield Condors vs Ontario Reign) is the only logically sound version. Request clarification or cancellation of Kalshi market.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Binary YES/NO structure with logical flaw: both Bakersfield win and Ontario win resolve to YES, leaving no NO outcome. Quote: 'If Bakersfield Condors wins...resolves to Yes. If Ontario Reign wins...resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Categorical resolution structure: Bakersfield win resolves to Bakersfield Condors, Ontario win resolves to Ontario Reign. Includes postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split) clauses. Quote: 'If Bakersfield Condors win, the market will resolve to Bakersfield Condors. If Ontario Reign win, the market will resolve to Ontario Reign.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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