TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Closed: Mar 1, 12:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single AHL (American Hockey League) regular season game between the Bakersfield Condors and Coachella Valley Firebirds scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 9:00 PM EST. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this matchup, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootout results.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market definition states both possible game outcomes (Bakersfield win and Coachella Valley win) resolve to Yes, which is logically impossible in a binary Yes/No market structure. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as written.Hero Tip:
This is a data integrity failure on Kalshi's side. The market cannot function as described. Before trading, request clarification: does one outcome resolve to No, or is this actually a different market type (e.g., 'Will the game be played?'). Polymarket's market is clear and tradeable; Kalshi's is not.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Clean winner-take-all structure with explicit handling of postponements and cancellations. Bakersfield win -> 'Bakersfield Condors' resolution; Coachella Valley win -> 'Coachella Valley Firebirds' resolution. Shootout adds one goal to winner's score for clarity.Kalshi:
Market definition contains logical contradiction: states both 'If Coachella Valley Firebirds wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Bakersfield Condors wins...resolves to Yes', making it impossible to determine which outcome produces a No resolution.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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