TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Colombia Primera A game, scheduled for Sunday, March 29, 2026 between AD Pasto and Atlético Nacional.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure is logically contradictory and unresolvable: all three outcomes (Pasto win, Tie, Nacional win) are listed as resolving to YES, making it impossible to distinguish between them or produce a single definitive resolution. Polymarket provides three separate, mutually exclusive markets with clear binary logic for each outcome, aligned with standard sports betting practice.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading on Kalshi's markets in this group — they are fundamentally broken and cannot be settled. Trade only on Polymarket's three separate markets (Pasto win, Draw, Nacional win), which have coherent binary logic and clear resolution criteria.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: Kalshi lists three separate conditions but assigns all of them to resolve to YES, creating a logical contradiction. The market states 'If Pasto wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Atletico Nacional wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This means every possible outcome resolves YES, making the market unresolvable and uninterpretable.Polymarket:
Distinct stance: Polymarket offers three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes: one for Pasto win (YES/NO), one for Draw (YES/NO), and one for Nacional win (YES/NO). Each market has clear resolution logic tied to a single outcome, with explicit cancellation and postponement rules referencing the official DIMAYOR source.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.