TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional UEFA Conference League soccer match between ACF Fiorentina and Jagiellonia Białystok scheduled for February 26, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi assess the outcome (win/loss/draw) based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market resolves YES upon full game cancellation with no make-up, while Kalshi's tie outcome resolves YES only for an actual draw result during play. This creates a logical fork in the cancellation edge case.Hero Tip:
Monitor cancellation risk carefully. If you believe the game will be canceled, Polymarket's draw market offers a YES resolution path that Kalshi's tie market does not. Conversely, if you expect the game to be played, both platforms converge on standard match outcomes. Request explicit cancellation protocols from Kalshi before trading.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets. Draw market resolves YES if game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes.'Kalshi:
Single omnibus market covering all three outcomes. Tie resolves YES only if the game ends in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause; standard interpretation suggests NO or void on cancellation.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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