TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Serie A game, scheduled for Sunday, March 22, 2026 between ACF Fiorentina and FC Internazionale Milano.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Polymarket and Kalshi both resolve based on the official match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on March 22, 2026, with identical scope and primary resolution source.
Primary resolution logic:
Official statistics from Lega Serie A (Italian top-flight soccer governing body) or consensus of credible reporting if official statistics are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion.Core resolution logic:
- Market resolves based on the outcome of the match after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only (no extra time or penalties).
- Three mutually exclusive outcomes are possible: Fiorentina win (YES on Polymarket Q4, YES on Kalshi Q2), Inter win (YES on Polymarket Q6, YES on Kalshi Q1), or Draw (YES on Polymarket Q1, YES on Kalshi Q3).
- Exactly one of the three outcomes will resolve YES across the market group.
- If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
- If the match is canceled with no make-up game, Polymarket draw market resolves YES and both win markets resolve NO; Kalshi markets all resolve YES (as a tie outcome).
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, Polymarket's draw market resolves YES (treating cancellation as a draw), while both Polymarket win markets resolve NO. Kalshi treats cancellation as a tie outcome, resolving its tie market to YES.
- Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets across both platforms remain open and unresolved until the match is completed and the final result is determined.
- Resolution Source Fallback: If Lega Serie A does not publish official match statistics within 2 hours after match conclusion, resolution defaults to consensus of credible reporting sources.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official publication of match statistics by Lega Serie A within 2 hours after match conclusion, or upon consensus of credible reporting if official statistics are delayed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.