TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$277,664,645
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,114,870
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,379,707,856
581,715
Markets across
14,439
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,118
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Danish Superliga soccer match between Aarhus GF and FC Nordsjælland scheduled for April 10, 2026. Markets are offered on both platforms asking whether each team will win or if the match will end in a draw, with resolution based on the 90-minute result plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi structure the same match outcome differently. Polymarket uses three separate binary markets with asymmetric cancellation rules, while Kalshi uses a single market with three mutually exclusive Yes outcomes. Additionally, Kalshi lacks explicit cancellation/postponement guidance.Hero Tip:
Understand that on Polymarket, the draw market is a hedge against cancellation (resolves Yes if game is canceled without makeup), while win markets resolve No in that scenario. On Kalshi, the market structure is simpler but cancellation handling is undefined. Cross-platform arbitrage risk exists if the match is canceled. Always confirm match status via Superligaen.dk before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets: (1) FC Nordsjælland win Yes/No, (2) Aarhus GF win Yes/No, (3) Draw Yes/No. Cancellation without makeup resolves win markets to No but draw market to Yes. Resolution source: official Superligaen.dk statistics within 2 hours, or credible reporting consensus if delayed. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No"' (win markets) and 'this market will resolve "Yes"' (draw market).Kalshi:
Single market with three resolution paths, all resolving to Yes: Aarhus win = Yes, Nordsjælland win = Yes, Tie = Yes. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Scope is identical (90 minutes plus stoppage time, professional Danish Superliga). Key Quote: 'If Aarhus wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Nordsjaelland wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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