TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$277,664,645
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,114,870
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,379,707,856
581,715
Markets across
14,439
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,118
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
These markets ask whether Garrett Nussmeier will be selected by a specific NFL team in the 2026 Pro Football Draft. Nussmeier is a quarterback prospect whose draft destination is uncertain; exactly one team will select him (or he may go undrafted). The markets collectively cover all 32 NFL teams plus catch-all categories, with resolution tied to official NFL draft records.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket includes placeholder team references (Team A, Team B, Team C, Team D, Team E) and an 'another team' catch-all option that are not clearly mapped to actual NFL franchises, while Kalshi explicitly lists all 32 NFL teams with clear resolution criteria. Additionally, Polymarket includes a cancellation/non-draft resolution path to 'Other', whereas Kalshi does not address this scenario.Hero Tip:
On Polymarket, clarify what Team A through Team E represent before trading—they may resolve ambiguously if Nussmeier is drafted by an unmapped franchise. On Kalshi, your YES bet covers any of the 32 explicit teams listed, but the market does not address what happens if the draft is canceled or Nussmeier goes undrafted. Favor Kalshi for clarity if you believe Nussmeier will be drafted; favor Polymarket only if you want exposure to a non-draft outcome.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Offers 39 separate binary markets covering named NFL teams plus placeholder teams (Team A, B, C, D, E) and an 'another team' option. Includes explicit cancellation clause: 'If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled, not completed, or Garrett Nussmeier is not drafted by May 9, 2026, this market will resolve to Other.' Resolution source is official NFL information or credible reporting consensus.Kalshi:
Provides 32 binary resolution criteria, one for each NFL team explicitly named (Green Bay, Buffalo, Philadelphia, etc.). Each criterion states 'If Garrett Nussmeier is selected by [Team] in the 2026 Pro Football Draft, then the market resolves to Yes.' No mention of cancellation, non-draft, or 'Other' outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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