TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$277,664,645
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,114,870
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,379,707,856
581,715
Markets across
14,439
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,118
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This market will resolve according to the team that selects David Bailey in the 2026 NFL draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled, not completed, or David Bailey is not drafted by May 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket includes placeholder team identifiers (Team A, Team B, Team C, Team D, Team E) and an 'Other' catch-all resolution category that are absent from Kalshi's exhaustive 32-team enumeration. Kalshi's logic guarantees exactly one YES resolution across all 32 NFL teams, while Polymarket's structure creates logical ambiguity and potential unresolvability if David Bailey is drafted by a team not explicitly named.Hero Tip:
On Polymarket, avoid betting on Team A/B/C/D/E markets—they appear to be placeholder errors and may never resolve. On Kalshi, your YES bet is guaranteed to resolve if David Bailey is drafted by any NFL team. If David Bailey goes undrafted or the draft is canceled, Polymarket resolves to 'Other' while Kalshi's rules do not explicitly address this scenario, creating settlement risk on Kalshi.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Includes 32 specific team markets plus 5 undefined placeholder teams (Team A, B, C, D, E) and an 'Other' category. Resolution source is official NFL information or credible reporting consensus. If draft is canceled, not completed, or Bailey is not drafted by May 9, 2026, market resolves to 'Other'. This creates a catch-all that Kalshi does not provide, and the placeholder teams are undefined identifiers that introduce ambiguity.Kalshi:
Provides exactly 32 mutually exclusive YES conditions, one for each NFL team. No catch-all or 'Other' category is defined. Logic states 'If David Bailey is selected by [team], then the market resolves to Yes' for all 32 teams, but does not specify what happens if Bailey is not drafted or the draft is canceled.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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