TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group tracks which quarterback will be selected as the 2nd QB in the 2026 NFL Draft. Both platforms resolve based on the official NFL Draft board declaration, with Polymarket explicitly noting a May 9, 2026 deadline and cancellation contingency. The market encompasses a defined roster of QB candidates plus a 'someone else' catchall option.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Kalshi and Polymarket resolve based on which quarterback is officially selected as the 2nd QB in the 2026 NFL Draft, with identical outcome logic across all named candidates and contingencies.
Primary resolution logic:
Official NFL Draft board and declaration; consensus of credible reporting may supplement official sources.Core resolution logic:
- Market resolves YES if the named quarterback (or in Kalshi's case, any of the 14 listed candidates) is officially declared as the 2nd quarterback selected in the 2026 NFL Draft.
- Market resolves NO if a different quarterback is selected as the 2nd QB, or if the individual is not selected in that position.
- Exactly one candidate will be the 2nd QB drafted; therefore exactly one market per candidate resolves YES.
- Kalshi includes a catch-all rule: if no player is the 2nd QB drafted, the market resolves YES (covering draft cancellation or non-completion scenarios).
- Polymarket includes an explicit cancellation clause: if the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or not completed by May 9, 2026, markets resolve to Other.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Draft Cancellation or Non-Completion: Kalshi resolves YES if no player is the 2nd QB drafted. Polymarket resolves to Other if the draft is canceled or not completed by May 9, 2026. These are functionally equivalent contingency provisions for the same scenario.
- Unknown Candidates (Player A, B, C, D, E): Polymarket includes placeholder questions for unknown candidates. These will resolve YES only if an unnamed QB becomes the 2nd overall selection; Kalshi's explicit candidate list does not include these placeholders but the outcome logic remains identical.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official NFL announcement of the 2nd quarterback selected in the 2026 NFL Draft, with a deadline of May 9, 2026.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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