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2026 NHL Draft: 1st Overall Pick
kalshi
polymarket

2026 NHL Draft: 1st Overall Pick

Volume:
$1,686,279

Gavin McKenna

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 27, 2026

Closed: Jun 26, 7:28 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Gavin McKenna

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$137,203
N/A
N/A
$110,139
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Gavin McKenna

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$73,716
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Adam Nemec

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
$369,557
$4,146
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Niklas Aaram-Olsen

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
$370,221
$2,677
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Yegor Shilov

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
$364,434
$2,111
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Victor Plante

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
$329,493
$1,274
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Viggo Björck

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$467,283
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Viggo Bjorck

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,551
N/A
N/A
$935
Settled
No
polymarket

Tynan Lawrence

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$458,154
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tynan Lawrence

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$616
N/A
N/A
$616
Settled
No
polymarket

Nikita Shcherbakov

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$145,953
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Keaton Verhoeff

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$38,736
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Keaton Verhoeff

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,969
N/A
N/A
$3,241
Settled
No
kalshi

Ivar Stenberg

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$34,837
N/A
N/A
$30,061
Settled
No
polymarket

Ivar Stenberg

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$26,546
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Maddox Dagenais

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$33,785
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Alberts Smits

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$32,596
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Alberts Smits

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,185
N/A
N/A
$1,008
Settled
No
polymarket

Oscar Hemming

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$20,164
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Oscar Hemming

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$616
N/A
N/A
$616
Settled
No
polymarket

Ryan Lin

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$19,643
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ryan Lin

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$616
N/A
N/A
$616
Settled
No
polymarket

Chase Reid

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$18,566
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Chase Reid

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,907
N/A
N/A
$7,202
Settled
No
polymarket

Marcus Nordmark

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$16,415
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 116

Intro

This market tracks which player will be selected first overall in the 2026 NHL Draft. Across Kalshi and Polymarket, the consensus probability that Gavin McKenna will be drafted 1st overall stands at 99.1%. Resolution will be determined by official NHL information, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NHL Draft on June 26-27, 2026, with credible reporting used to supplement if needed. Watch for the draft's completion on June 27, 2026, when the first overall pick will be officially announced.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms resolve based on the single player officially selected 1st overall at the 2026 NHL Draft; the core logic is identical across all candidate-specific markets.Primary resolution logic: Official NHL information, including live broadcast of the 2026 NHL Draft on June 26-27, 2026; consensus of credible reporting may supplement if needed.

Core resolution logic:

  • Exactly one player will be selected 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft.
  • The market for that player resolves YES; all other candidate markets resolve NO.
  • Resolution is based on the official pick announced during the live draft broadcast.
  • If the draft is postponed, markets remain open until the draft is completed.
  • If the draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Polymarket resolves to 'Other'; Kalshi's behavior in this scenario is not explicitly stated but would likely follow standard non-resolution protocol.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Draft Postponement: If the 2026 NHL Draft is postponed beyond June 27, 2026, both markets remain open until the draft is completed and the 1st overall pick is officially announced.
  • Draft Cancellation or Ambiguity: If the 2026 NHL Draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Polymarket resolves to 'Other'. Kalshi does not explicitly address this scenario in the provided rules.
  • Placeholder Entries (Polymarket): Polymarket includes 40+ placeholder entries (Placeholder B through AX) and an 'another player' catch-all option. These resolve YES only if a player not explicitly named is selected 1st overall; otherwise they resolve NO.
  • Player Name Variations: Polymarket lists 'Viggo Björck' (with diacritic); Kalshi lists 'Viggo Bjorck' (without diacritic). Both refer to the same player and will resolve identically.
Timing: Resolution occurs on June 26-27, 2026, when the 2026 NHL Draft takes place and the 1st overall pick is officially announced. If postponed, resolution is delayed until draft completion. Final resolution deadline is July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the player drafted No. 1 overall in the 2026 NHL Draft scheduled for June 26-27, 2026. If the 2026 NHL Draft is postponed, this market will stay open until its completion. If the 2026 NHL draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NHL draft; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by which eligible player is selected as the 1st overall pick in the 2026 NHL Draft. Each outcome corresponds to a different prospect, and exactly one will resolve to Yes based on the actual draft selection at that position.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi operate independently from traditional sportsbooks, often reflecting different liquidity pools, trader demographics, and information sets. Prediction market participants trade based on their belief in outcomes, while sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract margin. For the 2026 first overall pick, prediction markets may price prospects differently than Las Vegas or offshore books because traders have longer time horizons and face fewer betting limits. Comparing both sources provides a fuller picture of consensus expectations versus bookmaker positioning.

Major catalysts include junior league performance updates, international tournament results, injury reports, and media mock drafts. Trades involving the first overall pick holder will dramatically shift odds. Prospect interviews, combine performances, and playoff runs in the CHL, OHL, or European leagues provide real-time information that traders react to immediately. Coaching changes or organizational leadership shifts at the team holding the pick can alter draft strategy. Surprise breakout seasons or unexpected declines among top prospects will trigger repricing across both Polymarket and Kalshi as new consensus emerges.