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2026 NBA Draft Lottery: 6th Pick
kalshi
polymarket

2026 NBA Draft Lottery: 6th Pick

Volume:
$438,507

Mikel Brown Jr.

 - Kalshi

Mikel Brown Jr. - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 11, 2026

Closed: Jun 23, 8:42 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Mikel Brown Jr.

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$122,312
N/A
N/A
$91,533
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Brooklyn Nets

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Darius Acuff Jr.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$160,324
N/A
N/A
$121,921
Settled
No
kalshi

Nate Ament

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$47,561
N/A
N/A
$34,425
Settled
No
kalshi

Aday Mara

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$43,253
N/A
N/A
$34,991
Settled
No
kalshi

Keaton Wagler

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$25,590
N/A
N/A
$21,351
Settled
No
kalshi

Kingston Flemings

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,402
N/A
N/A
$13,088
Settled
No
kalshi

Brayden Burries

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,214
N/A
N/A
$12,003
Settled
No
kalshi

Yaxel Lendeborg

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,028
N/A
N/A
$3,027
Settled
No
kalshi

Karim Lopez

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,974
N/A
N/A
$1,861
Settled
No
kalshi

Darryn Peterson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,330
N/A
N/A
$1,330
Settled
No
kalshi

Caleb Wilson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,273
N/A
N/A
$1,270
Settled
No
kalshi

AJ Dybantsa

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$935
N/A
N/A
$935
Settled
No
kalshi

Amari Allen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$935
N/A
N/A
$935
Settled
No
kalshi

Morez Johnson Jr.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$677
N/A
N/A
$677
Settled
No
kalshi

Koa Peat

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$606
N/A
N/A
$596
Settled
No
kalshi

Cameron Boozer

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$281
N/A
N/A
$281
Settled
No
kalshi

Cameron Carr

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$187
N/A
N/A
$187
Settled
No
kalshi

Meleek Thomas

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$187
N/A
N/A
$187
Settled
No
kalshi

Hannes Steinbach

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$101
N/A
N/A
$101
Settled
No
polymarket

Atlanta Hawks

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Boston Celtics

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Charlotte Hornets

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Chicago Bulls

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Cleveland Cavaliers

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 63

Description

This market will resolve based on which team holds the draft rights to the sixth overall pick at the conclusion of the 2026 NBA Draft Lottery. If a listed team holds another franchise's draft pick via trade at the time of the lottery, and that traded pick results in the sixth overall selection, the holder of the draft rights is considered the winner, not the team whose record determined the lottery odds. If a traded pick is subject to protection (e.g., "top-5 protected"), the winner is determined by which team ultimately receives the sixth overall pick after all protections are applied. If the 2026 NBA Draft Lottery is postponed, not completed, or no team has been announced as the recipient of the sixth overall pick by July 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The two platforms measure different dimensions of the 2026 NBA Draft Lottery 6th pick outcome. Kalshi focuses on player identity; Polymarket focuses on team draft rights holder. Both can resolve independently and simultaneously without contradiction.Hero tip: Understand that Kalshi and Polymarket markets in this group answer different questions. A single lottery outcome (e.g., Celtics select Darryn Peterson 6th) satisfies both a Kalshi player market and a Polymarket team market. Cross-platform arbitrage is possible only if you identify mismatches in implied probabilities between player and team markets, not between the platforms themselves.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Player-centric resolution. Market resolves YES if any of 30 named players is selected as the 6th overall pick. No team information required. Quote: 'If [Player Name] is selected as the 6th overall pick in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Team-centric resolution. Market resolves YES if a specified NBA team holds draft rights to the 6th pick post-lottery, accounting for trades and pick protections. Quote: 'This market will resolve based on which team holds the draft rights to the sixth overall pick at the conclusion of the 2026 NBA Draft Lottery.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes if any of the eligible prospects is selected as the 6th overall pick in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft. Each prospect—including Darryn Peterson, AJ Dybantsa, Cameron Boozer, Caleb Wilson, Kingston Flemings, Mikel Brown Jr., Nate Ament, Isaiah Evans, Yaxel Lendeborg, Darius Acuff Jr., Jayden Quaintance, Koa Peat, Keaton Wagler, Brayden Burries, Karim Lopez, Labaron Philon Jr., Aday Mara, Hannes Steinbach, Chris Cenac Jr., Cameron Carr, Bennett Stirtz, Christian Anderson, Morez Johnson Jr., Allen Graves, Henri Veesaar, Dailyn Swain, Amari Allen, Ebuka Okorie, Meleek Thomas, and Joshua Jefferson—has an associated outcome. Exactly one prospect will be selected with the 6th pick, and the corresponding market outcome will resolve affirmatively.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect real-time consensus from traders worldwide, while traditional sportsbooks set odds based on internal models and risk management. Prediction markets often price draft outcomes differently because they aggregate dispersed information from analysts, scouts, and fans rather than relying on a single oddsmaker's view. Sportsbooks may adjust lines more cautiously to manage liability, whereas Polymarket prices shift fluidly with order flow. For the #6 pick, comparing prediction market implied probabilities to published sportsbook lines can reveal where market sentiment diverges from professional bookmakers' assessments.