TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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2026 NBA All-Star: Dunk Contest Winner
kalshi
polymarket

2026 NBA All-Star: Dunk Contest Winner

Volume:
$4,504,474

Keshad Johnson

 - Kalshi

Keshad Johnson - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 15, 2026

Closed: Feb 14, 8:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Keshad Johnson

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$228,371
$1,197,170
N/A
N/A
$697,256
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Carter Bryant

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$220,780
$1,358,379
N/A
N/A
$974,195
Settled
No
kalshi

Jase Richardson

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
-$71,777
$1,034,121
N/A
N/A
$811,730
Settled
No
kalshi

Jaxson Hayes

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
-$61,450
$788,039
N/A
N/A
$554,226
Settled
No
polymarket

Keshad Johnson

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$51,879
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Carter Bryant

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$45,233
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Jaxson Hayes

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,973
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Jase Richardson

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,680
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

player B

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

player D

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

player A

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

player C

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Other

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 13

Description

This event group covers prediction markets on who will win the 2026 NBA All-Star Slam Dunk Contest, scheduled for February 14, 2026. Markets span both binary yes/no outcomes for specific named players (Carter Bryant, Keshad Johnson, Jaxson Hayes, Jase Richardson) and a categorical market covering all possible winners including unnamed alternatives.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi uses binary yes/no format for four named players with no explicit catch-all, while Polymarket uses categorical format with named players plus unnamed alternatives and explicit cancellation/postponement rules. This creates different settlement outcomes if a player outside the four named wins or if the event is cancelled.Hero tip: Kalshi binary markets are narrowly scoped to four players only. Polymarket categorical market covers all possible winners. If you believe the winner will be someone other than Carter Bryant, Keshad Johnson, Jaxson Hayes, or Jase Richardson, Kalshi markets will all resolve NO while Polymarket will resolve to the actual winner. For cancellation/postponement scenarios, Polymarket explicitly resolves to Other; Kalshi has no stated mechanism.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Binary yes/no markets on four named players only (Carter Bryant, Keshad Johnson, Jaxson Hayes, Jase Richardson). Each market resolves YES if that player wins the 2026 Pro Basketball Slam Dunk Contest. No explicit handling of other winners, cancellations, or postponements.
  • Polymarket: Categorical market with named players (Carter Bryant, Jase Richardson, Jaxson Hayes, Keshad Johnson) plus unnamed categories (Player A, B, C, D, and another player). Resolves to actual winner or Other if cancelled/postponed past Feb 28, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Primary source: NBA.com.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.