TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers prediction markets on who will win the 2026 NBA All-Star Slam Dunk Contest, scheduled for February 14, 2026. Markets span both binary yes/no outcomes for specific named players (Carter Bryant, Keshad Johnson, Jaxson Hayes, Jase Richardson) and a categorical market covering all possible winners including unnamed alternatives.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi uses binary yes/no format for four named players with no explicit catch-all, while Polymarket uses categorical format with named players plus unnamed alternatives and explicit cancellation/postponement rules. This creates different settlement outcomes if a player outside the four named wins or if the event is cancelled.Hero Tip:
Kalshi binary markets are narrowly scoped to four players only. Polymarket categorical market covers all possible winners. If you believe the winner will be someone other than Carter Bryant, Keshad Johnson, Jaxson Hayes, or Jase Richardson, Kalshi markets will all resolve NO while Polymarket will resolve to the actual winner. For cancellation/postponement scenarios, Polymarket explicitly resolves to Other; Kalshi has no stated mechanism.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Binary yes/no markets on four named players only (Carter Bryant, Keshad Johnson, Jaxson Hayes, Jase Richardson). Each market resolves YES if that player wins the 2026 Pro Basketball Slam Dunk Contest. No explicit handling of other winners, cancellations, or postponements.Polymarket:
Categorical market with named players (Carter Bryant, Jase Richardson, Jaxson Hayes, Keshad Johnson) plus unnamed categories (Player A, B, C, D, and another player). Resolves to actual winner or Other if cancelled/postponed past Feb 28, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Primary source: NBA.com.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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