TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a Bundesliga match between 1. FC Köln and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim scheduled for February 21, 2026. Three binary markets track the three possible match outcomes: Köln win, draw, or Hoffenheim win, each resolving based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi handle match cancellation differently. Polymarket's draw market explicitly resolves YES on cancellation, while its win markets resolve NO. Kalshi provides no cancellation clause and implicitly assumes one outcome will occur.Hero Tip:
Monitor cancellation risk closely. If the match is canceled without rescheduling, Polymarket traders holding the draw market will profit while win-market holders lose. Kalshi's lack of explicit cancellation language creates ambiguity; contact support to confirm whether cancellation triggers no-resolution or a default outcome.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets: Köln win (YES if Köln wins, NO otherwise), Draw (YES if draw, NO otherwise, but YES if canceled with no make-up), Hoffenheim win (YES if Hoffenheim wins, NO otherwise). Cancellation with no make-up resolves the draw market to YES and win markets to NO. Postponement keeps markets open until completion.Kalshi:
Three mutually exclusive outcome markets: Hoffenheim wins, Tie, Köln wins. Each resolves YES if that outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided; implicitly assumes one outcome will occur.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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