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$1,438,389,636

404,028

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30,214

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2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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VS.

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1. FC Köln vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
polymarket
kalshi

1. FC Köln vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Volume:
$1,176,190

Tie

 - Kalshi

Tie - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 21, 2026

Closed: Feb 21, 12:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$106,410
N/A
N/A
$47,281
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hoffenheim

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$273,820
N/A
N/A
$184,928
Settled
No
kalshi

FC Köln

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$76,037
N/A
N/A
$35,613
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (1. FC Köln vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$79,117
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$513,112
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

1. FC Köln

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$127,693
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the outcome of a Bundesliga match between 1. FC Köln and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim scheduled for February 21, 2026. Three binary markets track the three possible match outcomes: Köln win, draw, or Hoffenheim win, each resolving based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi handle match cancellation differently. Polymarket's draw market explicitly resolves YES on cancellation, while its win markets resolve NO. Kalshi provides no cancellation clause and implicitly assumes one outcome will occur.Hero tip: Monitor cancellation risk closely. If the match is canceled without rescheduling, Polymarket traders holding the draw market will profit while win-market holders lose. Kalshi's lack of explicit cancellation language creates ambiguity; contact support to confirm whether cancellation triggers no-resolution or a default outcome.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Köln win (YES if Köln wins, NO otherwise), Draw (YES if draw, NO otherwise, but YES if canceled with no make-up), Hoffenheim win (YES if Hoffenheim wins, NO otherwise). Cancellation with no make-up resolves the draw market to YES and win markets to NO. Postponement keeps markets open until completion.
  • Kalshi: Three mutually exclusive outcome markets: Hoffenheim wins, Tie, Köln wins. Each resolves YES if that outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided; implicitly assumes one outcome will occur.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.