TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Wright State Raiders and Northern Kentucky Norse scheduled for February 21, 2026. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Northern Kentucky win and Wright State win) are mapped to the identical resolution value (Yes), making the market unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading on Kalshi until the platform issues a clarification or amendment. The market as currently written cannot distinguish between the two outcomes. Polymarket's binary structure is logically sound and should be your reference framework for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Clean binary outcome market: Wright State Raiders win resolves to 'Wright State Raiders', Northern Kentucky Norse win resolves to 'Northern Kentucky Norse'. Includes explicit edge case handling for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Resolution based on final score including overtime.Kalshi:
Defective market structure: Both 'If Northern Kentucky wins' and 'If Wright St. wins' are stated to resolve to 'Yes', creating a logical impossibility. No distinction mechanism exists between the two outcomes, making settlement impossible.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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