TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Who will Trump announce as next Attorney General?
Total volume:
$598
Volume 24h:
$0
100%
Liquidity:
$4,131
3%
Open interest:
$277
0%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group tracks whether Donald Trump will announce a nominee for United States Attorney General, with markets on both Kalshi and Polymarket offering different time horizons and candidate-specific outcomes. Kalshi offers sequential deadline-based markets (Apr 6 through Sep 1, 2026), while Polymarket offers a comprehensive set of named-candidate and catch-all markets with a December 31, 2026 deadline.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Timing mismatch (Kalshi: Apr-Sep 2026 sequential deadlines vs. Polymarket: Dec 31, 2026 single deadline) and scope divergence (Kalshi: generic announcement vs. Polymarket: 25+ named candidates plus catch-all). Both platforms require official Trump announcement or formal Senate nomination, but resolution windows and candidate specificity differ materially.Hero Tip:
Kalshi markets are early-warning indicators for announcement timing; Polymarket markets require candidate identification. If Trump announces before Sep 1, 2026, all Kalshi markets resolve Yes regardless of candidate. Polymarket resolution depends on which specific person is named. Use Kalshi to predict announcement timing, then cross-reference Polymarket candidate markets to identify the likely nominee and lock in candidate-specific odds before announcement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Time-gated sequential markets with 7 distinct deadlines (Apr 6, Apr 10, Apr 17, Apr 24, May 1, May 8, Jun 1, Jul 1, Aug 1, Sep 1, 2026). Resolution trigger: any official announcement (Truth Social post) naming nominee before each deadline. No candidate specificity; all markets resolve Yes if announcement occurs before their respective date. Generic 'Yes' outcome for any nominee.
- Polymarket: Single December 31, 2026 deadline with 44 distinct markets: 25+ named-candidate markets (Jeff Clark, Jeanine Pirro, Mike Lee, Ted Cruz, Eric Schmitt, Ken Paxton, Matt Gaetz, Alina Habba, Sidney Powell, Todd Blanche, Jay Clayton, Andrew Bailey, Lee Zeldin, Ron DeSantis, Harmeet Dhillon, plus 'Person A' through 'Person Z' placeholders), one catch-all 'someone else' market, and one 'no announcement' market. Resolution requires explicit announcement or formal Senate nomination of specific individual. Excludes acting/interim appointments and media speculation.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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