TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
This event group tracks whether Donald Trump will post specific terms or post at specific times on Truth Social during the week of May 11-17, 2026. Polymarket offers 22 binary markets on individual keywords/phrases, while Kalshi offers 5 binary markets on posting activity during specific hourly windows. The group tests both content-based and timing-based prediction accuracy.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.