TOTAL VOLUME:

$54.6b

24H VOL:

$283,259,638

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,235,549,422

505,521

Markets across

13,661

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,892

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

51%

VS.

Kalshi:

49%

BETA
Dashboards
polymarket
predict
Trending

What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit in May 2026?

Apr 25, 2026, 12:00 AM EST - May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$276,069
Volume 24h:
$6,188
21%
Liquidity:
$480,345
75%
Open interest:
$72,504
0%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade

Description

This event group tracks whether Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) stock will reach specific price levels (highs and lows) at any point during May 2026, using 1-minute candle data from Pyth during regular trading hours (9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET). The markets span price targets from $285 to $480 for highs and $285 to $375 for lows, with resolution based on whether the intraday price touches or crosses each threshold.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms use identical resolution criteria: Pyth 1-minute candle data for May 2026 regular trading hours (9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET), with fallback to official exchange daily high/low on data unavailability, and proportional adjustment for corporate actions.

Primary resolution logic:

Pyth (https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD) with 1-minute candle configuration; fallback to official primary exchange (NASDAQ) daily high/low prices if Pyth data is unavailable due to system outage or technical failure.

Core resolution logic:

  • HIGH markets resolve YES if any 1-minute candle during May 2026 regular trading hours has a final High price equal to or above the target price; otherwise NO.
  • LOW markets resolve YES if any 1-minute candle during May 2026 regular trading hours has a final Low price equal to or below the target price; otherwise NO.
  • Only prices from regular trading hours (9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) on the primary exchange qualify; pre-market and after-hours prices are excluded.
  • Prices are used exactly as published by Pyth without rounding.
  • In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action, the target price is adjusted proportionally and resolution is based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.

Edge cases & Clarifications:

  • Pyth Data Unavailability: If Pyth 1-minute candle data is unavailable due to system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, resolution falls back to the official daily high or low price published by NASDAQ for the applicable trading session.
  • Stock Split or Corporate Action: Target prices are adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits, reverse splits, or similar corporate actions. Resolution uses the split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth after adjustments have been applied.
  • Exact Price Match: For HIGH markets, the target price must be reached or exceeded (>=). For LOW markets, the target price must be reached or undercut (<=). Exact matches satisfy the condition.
  • Timing Window: Only May 2026 trading days during regular hours (9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) are considered. The event window is May 1–31, 2026 (or the last business day of May if May 31 is not a trading day).

Timing:

Resolution occurs after the close of the last trading day of May 2026 (May 29, 2026, or May 31 if it falls on a trading day), once all 1-minute candle data for the month is finalized and available on Pyth or the official exchange.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Follow the signals, not the noise

Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.

Company

Brand Kit

API & Data Licensing

Methodology

Help Center

Contact

PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.