TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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What will Natural Gas (NG) hit Week of April 6 2026?
polymarket
kalshi

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit Week of April 6 2026?

Volume:
$34,384

above 2.599

 - Kalshi

above 2.599 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 15, 2026

Closed: Apr 10, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

above 2.599

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,247
N/A
N/A
$1,019
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↓ $2.80

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$286
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above 1.099

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$170
N/A
N/A
$169
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above 1.699

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$153
N/A
N/A
$153
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above 2.499

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$145
N/A
N/A
$94
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↓ $2.70

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$138
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above 1.199

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$113
N/A
N/A
$103
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above 1.999

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$102
N/A
N/A
$102
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above 2.199

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$101
N/A
N/A
$101
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above 2.299

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$101
N/A
N/A
$101
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above 2.399

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$96
N/A
N/A
$71
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above 1.299

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$95
N/A
N/A
$95
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above 1.799

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$78
N/A
N/A
$78
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $0.999

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
$12
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above 1.399

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
$11
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above 1.499

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
$11
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above 1.599

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
$11
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above 1.899

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above 2.099

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above 2.699

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,094
N/A
N/A
$2,427
Settled
No
kalshi

above 2.799

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,256
N/A
N/A
$1,886
Settled
No
kalshi

above 2.899

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,812
N/A
N/A
$2,993
Settled
No
kalshi

above 3.599

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,358
N/A
N/A
$2,085
Settled
No
kalshi

above 3.199

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,336
N/A
N/A
$2,198
Settled
No
kalshi

above 3.299

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,141
N/A
N/A
$2,016
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 54

Description

This event group tracks whether Natural Gas (NG) futures will reach specific price levels during the week of April 6, 2026. Polymarket offers binary YES/NO markets on whether intraweek lows or highs will be touched at various thresholds, while Kalshi offers binary markets on a single closing price at a specific moment (April 10, 2026 at 5 PM EDT).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi measure fundamentally different settlement events: Polymarket resolves on whether any intraweek extreme (high or low) is touched during the entire week of April 6-10, 2026, while Kalshi resolves on the closing price of a single 1-minute candle on April 10, 2026 at exactly 5 PM EDT. Additionally, Kalshi's price thresholds are substantially lower than Polymarket's, suggesting possible contract or unit differences.Hero tip: Do not assume these markets move in lockstep. Polymarket rewards early-week price spikes (even if reversed by Friday), while Kalshi only cares about the 5 PM close on April 10. A bullish trader could profit on Polymarket high-touch markets while losing on Kalshi close-above markets if the rally fades. Cross-check contract specifications and units before arbitraging across platforms.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Measures whether any 1-minute candle during the entire week of April 6-10, 2026 touches specified price levels (lows or highs). Resolution uses Pyth 1-minute candle data with CME daily extremes as fallback. Thresholds range from $2.20 to $3.50. Key Quote: 'at any point during the week of April 6 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of Natural Gas futures has a final Low price equal to or below the listed price.'
  • Kalshi: Measures only the closing price of the 1-minute candlestick on April 10, 2026 at exactly 5 PM EDT. Resolves YES if close is above threshold. Thresholds range from $0.999 to $4.899. Key Quote: 'If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for natural gas on April 10, 2026 at 5 PM EDT is above [threshold] USD/MMBtu, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.