TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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What will Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) hit Week of April 13 2026?
polymarket
kalshi

What will Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) hit Week of April 13 2026?

Volume:
$44,980

26,400 or above

 - Kalshi

26,400 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 18, 2026

Closed: Apr 17, 7:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

26,400 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,884
N/A
N/A
$1,637
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ $645

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,712
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ $620

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,547
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ $615

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,700
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ $640

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,622
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↓ $610

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$821
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ $630

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$440
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ $635

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$271
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ $625

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$183
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↓ $585

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,176
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

26,300 to 26,399.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,758
N/A
N/A
$2,940
Settled
No
kalshi

26,200 to 26,299.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,996
N/A
N/A
$2,233
Settled
No
kalshi

25,900 to 25,999.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,765
N/A
N/A
$1,731
Settled
No
kalshi

23,599.99 or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,193
N/A
N/A
$1,286
Settled
No
kalshi

26,000 to 26,099.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,105
N/A
N/A
$1,549
Settled
No
polymarket

↓ $600

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,977
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↓ $595

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,838
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↓ $590

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,776
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↓ $605

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,236
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

25,300 to 25,399.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,145
N/A
N/A
$159
Settled
No
polymarket

↓ $580

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$955
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

26,100 to 26,199.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$953
N/A
N/A
$927
Settled
No
kalshi

23,600 to 23,699.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$860
N/A
N/A
$622
Settled
No
kalshi

25,700 to 25,799.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$475
N/A
N/A
$469
Settled
No
kalshi

25,800 to 25,899.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$356
N/A
N/A
$289
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 44

Description

These markets assess whether the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) will reach specific price levels during the week of April 13, 2026. Polymarket uses intraday 1-minute candle highs/lows during regular trading hours (9:30 AM–4:00 PM ET), while Kalshi measures the end-of-day index value on April 17, 2026 (Friday of that week) across 100-point bands. The core tension: Polymarket tracks the QQQ ETF's intraweek extremes; Kalshi tracks the Nasdaq 100 index's closing level on a single day.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi measure fundamentally different instruments and time periods: Polymarket tracks QQQ (ETF) intraweek price extremes during April 13-17, 2026, while Kalshi tracks the Nasdaq 100 Index (NDX) end-of-day close on April 17, 2026 only. The instruments have different price levels, the Kalshi markets cover only a single day's close rather than intraweek highs/lows, and Kalshi's resolution logic is incomplete (does not specify what happens if the close falls outside all 30 defined ranges).Hero tip: Do not assume QQQ price levels map to Nasdaq 100 Index levels—they are different instruments with different price scales. On Polymarket, you are betting on whether an intraweek extreme is touched at any point during regular hours; on Kalshi, you are betting on a single end-of-day index close. If you trade both, understand that a QQQ high of $635 does not imply the Nasdaq 100 Index will close in any specific Kalshi range on April 17.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Polymarket offers 17 binary markets on whether QQQ (the Invesco QQQ Trust ETF) will touch specific price levels (highs: $615–$645; lows: $580–$610) at any point during the week of April 13–17, 2026, during regular trading hours (9:30 AM–4:00 PM ET). Resolution uses 1-minute candle data from Pyth, with fallback to official daily high/low if Pyth data is unavailable. Each market resolves YES if the target price is reached or exceeded (for highs) or reached or undercut (for lows) on any single 1-minute candle during the week.
  • Kalshi: Kalshi offers 30 markets based on the end-of-day Nasdaq 100 Index (not QQQ) close on April 17, 2026 only. Each market resolves YES if the index close falls within a specific 100-point range (e.g., 23600–23699.9900, 24000–24099.9900, etc.). The resolution logic covers ranges from below 23600 to above 26399.9900, but does not explicitly state what happens if the close falls outside all defined ranges or in a gap.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.