TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Utah Valley Wolverines and UT Arlington Mavericks scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), point spreads at -5.5 and -6.5, and total points over/under at thresholds of 137.5, 138.5, 139.5, and 140.5.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (Utah Valley win and UT Arlington win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading Kalshi until corrected. Trade Polymarket moneyline and derivatives with confidence; all use consistent final-score-based resolution with clear 50-50 cancellation protocol.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Coherent binary and derivative markets. Moneyline resolves to winner name. Spreads resolve based on margin (6+ points for -5.5, 7+ for -6.5). Totals resolve Over if combined score meets or exceeds threshold. All include overtime; postponement keeps open; cancellation with no makeup = 50-50.Kalshi:
Moneyline market contains tautological logic: resolves Yes if Utah Valley wins AND Yes if UT Arlington wins. No explicit handling of postponement or cancellation. This creates a market that cannot distinguish between outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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