TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
UMBC Retrievers vs. New Hampshire Wildcats
kalshi
polymarket

UMBC Retrievers vs. New Hampshire Wildcats

Volume:
$579,595

UMBC

 - Kalshi

UMBC - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 14, 2026

Closed: Feb 14, 4:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

UMBC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$6,354
$316,280
N/A
N/A
$204,900
Settled
Yes
kalshi

New Hampshire

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$12,021
$102,809
N/A
N/A
$86,685
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 142.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$41,896
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

UMBC Retrievers vs. New Hampshire Wildcats

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$40,886
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 143.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$37,545
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 144.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$34,130
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Spread -2.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,767
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Spread -3.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,646
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 145.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$370
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Spread -4.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$266
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 10

Description

A men's college basketball game between UMBC Retrievers and New Hampshire Wildcats scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spreads at multiple thresholds (-2.5, -3.5, -4.5), and over/under totals at multiple thresholds (142.5, 143.5, 144.5, 145.5).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (UMBC win or New Hampshire win) are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket moneyline uses standard mutually exclusive binary logic.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market. The resolution logic is internally contradictory and cannot be settled. All spread and total markets are consistent across platforms and safe to trade. Use Polymarket moneyline as the authoritative source for determining the game winner.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline market (items 1-2) specifies that both New Hampshire winning AND UMBC winning both resolve to Yes. This is logically impossible for a binary market. Quote: 'If New Hampshire wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If UMBC wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Moneyline market uses standard binary logic with mutually exclusive outcomes: UMBC Retrievers or New Hampshire Wildcats. Only cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Quote: 'If the UMBC Retrievers win, the market will resolve to UMBC Retrievers. If the New Hampshire Wildcats win, the market will resolve to New Hampshire Wildcats.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.