TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Texas State Bobcats and Southern Miss Golden Eagles scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement or cancellation.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's binary Yes/Yes resolution structure creates logical impossibility for outcome differentiation, while Polymarket provides clear categorical resolution. This is a data integrity failure that makes Kalshi's market fundamentally unresolvable as documented.Hero Tip:
Treat Polymarket as the authoritative resolution framework. Do not trade on Kalshi until the platform clarifies how a Yes/Yes binary structure actually settles to a specific winner. Request clarification from Kalshi support immediately.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Binary Yes/No structure where both Southern Miss winning and Texas State winning resolve to Yes. Quote: 'If Southern Miss wins... resolves to Yes. If Texas St. wins... resolves to Yes.' This creates no logical path to differentiate outcomes.Polymarket:
Categorical winner-based resolution. Quote: 'If Texas State Bobcats win, resolves to Texas State Bobcats. If Southern Miss Golden Eagles win, resolves to Southern Miss Golden Eagles.' Includes explicit tie-breaker rules for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.