TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA

Science and Technology

Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on April 8?

kalshi

polymarket

Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on April 8?

Volume:

$31,771

Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on April 8?

- Polymarket

Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on April 8? - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 9, 2026

Closed: Apr 8, 5:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

Markets

Outcome

Trade

Chance %

Price

Spread

Liquidity

Volume

24h

7d

Open Interest

Ends in

Result

polymarket

Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on April 8?

100%

Yes 100¢

No 0¢

—

N/A

$5,316

N/A

N/A

N/A

Settled

Yes

kalshi

above $73.75

100%

Yes 100¢

No 0¢

—

N/A

$1,495

N/A

N/A

$910

Settled

Yes

kalshi

above $73.25

100%

Yes 100¢

No 0¢

—

N/A

$1,116

N/A

N/A

$523

Settled

Yes

kalshi

above $74

100%

Yes 100¢

No 0¢

—

N/A

$881

N/A

N/A

$497

Settled

Yes

kalshi

above $72

100%

Yes 100¢

No 0¢

—

N/A

$758

N/A

N/A

$515

Settled

Yes

kalshi

above $73

100%

Yes 100¢

No 0¢

—

N/A

$717

N/A

N/A

$573

Settled

Yes

kalshi

above $73.50

100%

Yes 100¢

No 0¢

—

N/A

$472

N/A

N/A

$230

Settled

Yes

kalshi

above $69.50

100%

Yes 100¢

No 0¢

—

N/A

$392

N/A

N/A

$392

Settled

Yes

kalshi

above $71.75

100%

Yes 100¢

No 0¢

—

N/A

$364

N/A

N/A

$328

Settled

Yes

kalshi

above $68.75

100%

Yes 100¢

No 0¢

—

N/A

$305

N/A

N/A

$301

Settled

Yes

kalshi

above $70.75

100%

Yes 100¢

No 0¢

—

N/A

$261

N/A

N/A

$184

Settled

Yes

kalshi

above $70.25

100%

Yes 100¢

No 0¢

—

N/A

$227

N/A

N/A

$199

Settled

Yes

kalshi

above $71.50

100%

Yes 100¢

No 0¢

—

N/A

$224

N/A

N/A

$222

Settled

Yes

kalshi

above $69.25

100%

Yes 100¢

No 0¢

—

N/A

$209

N/A

N/A

$202

Settled

Yes

kalshi

above $68.25

100%

Yes 100¢

No 0¢

—

N/A

$199

N/A

N/A

$199

Settled

Yes

kalshi

above $69

100%

Yes 100¢

No 0¢

—

N/A

$190

N/A

N/A

$190

Settled

Yes

kalshi

above $70.50

100%

Yes 100¢

No 0¢

—

N/A

$161

N/A

N/A

$161

Settled

Yes

kalshi

above $72.25

100%

Yes 100¢

No 0¢

—

N/A

$139

N/A

N/A

$119

Settled

Yes

kalshi

above $68.50

100%

Yes 100¢

No 0¢

—

N/A

$137

N/A

N/A

$137

Settled

Yes

kalshi

above $71

100%

Yes 100¢

No 0¢

—

N/A

$123

N/A

N/A

$121

Settled

Yes

kalshi

above $70

100%

Yes 100¢

No 0¢

—

N/A

$93

N/A

N/A

$93

Settled

Yes

kalshi

above $68

100%

Yes 100¢

No 0¢

—

N/A

$85

N/A

N/A

$85

Settled

Yes

kalshi

above $69.75

100%

Yes 100¢

No 0¢

—

N/A

$67

N/A

N/A

$67

Settled

Yes

kalshi

above $72.50

100%

Yes 100¢

No 0¢

—

N/A

$60

N/A

N/A

$60

Settled

Yes

kalshi

above $72.75

100%

Yes 100¢

No 0¢

—

N/A

$13

N/A

N/A

$13

Settled

Yes

Total markets: 25 of 41

Description

This event group compares silver (XAGUSD) price movement on April 8, 2026 across two fundamentally different resolution frameworks. Kalshi defines 40 separate binary outcomes based on specific price thresholds at 5 PM EDT, while Polymarket resolves based on whether April 8's closing price is higher or lower than the prior trading day's close.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi and Polymarket use incompatible resolution architectures: Kalshi resolves on absolute price thresholds (40 separate binary outcomes), while Polymarket resolves on relative day-over-day price movement. A single April 8 price outcome cannot satisfy both frameworks simultaneously.Hero tip: These markets are structurally independent. Kalshi outcomes depend only on April 8's 5 PM EDT close against fixed price levels. Polymarket depends on the April 7 close as a moving baseline. Before trading Polymarket, identify the prior trading day's official close price from Pyth. A price move that triggers multiple Kalshi markets may still resolve Down on Polymarket if April 7 closed higher.

Critical divergence points:

Kalshi: 40 separate binary markets, each with an absolute price threshold (68.00 to 77.75 USD/t.oz). Resolves Yes if 1-minute candle close at 5 PM EDT on April 8, 2026 meets or exceeds the specified threshold. All thresholds are independent; multiple markets can resolve Yes simultaneously if price is sufficiently high. Key quote: 'If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on April 08, 2026 at 5 PM EDT is || Above/Below/Between/At least|| [PRICE] USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Polymarket: Single binary market resolving Up/Down based on relative price movement. Resolves Up if April 8 close > prior trading day close, Down if April 8 close < prior trading day close, 50-50 if equal or no trade. Uses Pyth 1-minute candle at 4:59 PM ET, with fallback to CME COMEX Silver Futures. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Silver (XAGUSD) on April 8, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Silver (XAGUSD) on the most recent prior trading day.'

Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.