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Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on April 2?
kalshi
polymarket

Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on April 2?

Volume:
$12,227

above $72.75

 - Kalshi

above $72.75 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 18, 2026

Closed: Apr 2, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

above $72.75

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,579
N/A
N/A
$800
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $72.50

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,133
N/A
N/A
$947
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $72

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$823
N/A
N/A
$718
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $71

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$654
N/A
N/A
$615
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $71.75

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$598
N/A
N/A
$282
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $70

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$447
N/A
N/A
$265
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $72.25

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$373
N/A
N/A
$286
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $70.50

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$331
N/A
N/A
$295
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $71.50

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$285
N/A
N/A
$247
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $70.75

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$201
N/A
N/A
$108
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $70.25

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$146
N/A
N/A
$101
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $71.25

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$138
N/A
N/A
$114
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $69.50

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
$30
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on April 2?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,423
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $75

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,003
N/A
N/A
$750
Settled
No
kalshi

above $75.50

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$690
N/A
N/A
$597
Settled
No
kalshi

above $77

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$490
N/A
N/A
$385
Settled
No
kalshi

above $74.75

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$325
N/A
N/A
$323
Settled
No
kalshi

above $73.25

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$284
N/A
N/A
$266
Settled
No
kalshi

above $77.25

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$282
N/A
N/A
$280
Settled
No
kalshi

above $76.75

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$225
N/A
N/A
$211
Settled
No
kalshi

above $73

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$162
N/A
N/A
$146
Settled
No
kalshi

above $78.25

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$162
N/A
N/A
$162
Settled
No
kalshi

above $76

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$116
N/A
N/A
$116
Settled
No
kalshi

above $77.50

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$73
N/A
N/A
$73
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 41

Description

This event group tracks whether Silver (XAGUSD) will close higher or lower on April 2, 2026. Kalshi offers 40 binary markets, each tied to specific price thresholds at the 5 PM EDT close. Polymarket offers a single relative comparison market: April 2 close versus the most recent prior trading day close.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi and Polymarket measure different settlement values: Kalshi uses absolute price thresholds; Polymarket uses relative day-over-day price movement. Both reference the same 5 PM EDT close on April 2, 2026, but the resolution logic and winning conditions are structurally incompatible.Hero tip: Understand your bet: Kalshi requires silver to exceed a fixed price level; Polymarket requires silver to close higher than the prior trading day, regardless of absolute level. These are independent outcomes. Confirm which market type aligns with your directional view before trading.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Absolute price threshold model. 40 separate binary markets, each tied to a specific XAGUSD price level (e.g., $69.50, $70.00, $79.25). Resolves Yes if the 1-minute candle close at 5 PM EDT on April 2, 2026 exceeds the stated threshold. All thresholds reference the same timestamp and data source (1-minute candle close).
  • Polymarket: Relative price movement model. Single binary market comparing April 2, 2026 close to the most recent prior trading day close. Resolves Up if April 2 > prior day; Down if April 2 < prior day; 50-50 if equal, no trade, or either day is not a trading day. Uses Pyth as authoritative source; falls back to CME COMEX Silver Futures if Pyth data unavailable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.