TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Financials
QQQ (QQQ) Up or Down on April 27?
polymarket
kalshi

QQQ (QQQ) Up or Down on April 27?

Volume:
$37,412

QQQ (QQQ) Up or Down on April 27?

 - Polymarket

QQQ (QQQ) Up or Down on April 27? - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 28, 2026

Closed: Apr 27, 4:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

QQQ (QQQ) Up or Down on April 27?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,455
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

27,300 to 27,399.99

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,332
N/A
N/A
$1,048
Settled
Yes
kalshi

25,300 to 25,399.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,075
N/A
N/A
$6,774
Settled
No
kalshi

25,299.99 or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,812
N/A
N/A
$4,629
Settled
No
kalshi

25,500 to 25,599.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,796
N/A
N/A
$2,796
Settled
No
kalshi

25,400 to 25,499.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,748
N/A
N/A
$2,748
Settled
No
kalshi

25,600 to 25,699.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,611
N/A
N/A
$2,611
Settled
No
kalshi

25,700 to 25,799.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,836
N/A
N/A
$1,836
Settled
No
kalshi

26,700 to 26,799.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,132
N/A
N/A
$567
Settled
No
kalshi

27,200 to 27,299.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$931
N/A
N/A
$578
Settled
No
kalshi

27,400 to 27,499.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$804
N/A
N/A
$506
Settled
No
kalshi

27,100 to 27,199.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$663
N/A
N/A
$394
Settled
No
kalshi

27,500 to 27,599.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$638
N/A
N/A
$416
Settled
No
kalshi

27,800 to 27,899.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$343
N/A
N/A
$145
Settled
No
kalshi

25,800 to 25,899.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$193
N/A
N/A
$193
Settled
No
kalshi

27,000 to 27,099.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17
N/A
N/A
$11
Settled
No
kalshi

26,900 to 26,999.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7
N/A
N/A
$7
Settled
No
kalshi

27,600 to 27,699.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7
N/A
N/A
$7
Settled
No
kalshi

26,800 to 26,899.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
No
kalshi

27,700 to 27,799.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
kalshi

25,900 to 25,999.99

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

26,000 to 26,099.99

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

26,100 to 26,199.99

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

26,200 to 26,299.99

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

26,300 to 26,399.99

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 31

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) on April 27, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) on April 27, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.QQQ%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.QQQ%2FUSD?t=1773432000).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi measure fundamentally different outcomes: Polymarket resolves on directional movement (Up/Down vs. prior day), while Kalshi resolves on whether the absolute price level falls within one of 30 pre-specified 100-point bands. These contract types are not interchangeable.Hero tip: Do not assume Polymarket Up = Kalshi Yes. Polymarket Up means April 27 close > April 26 close (any magnitude). Kalshi Yes means April 27 close falls in one of 30 bands (25300–28099.99, with 10 gaps). A Polymarket Up outcome could easily resolve No on Kalshi if the prior-day close was within one of Kalshi's gap zones. Understand which contract type matches your trading thesis.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Directional comparison market. Resolves Up if April 27 close > prior trading day close; Down if lower; 50-50 if equal or no trade. Uses Pyth Close values (1-minute candle at 4:00 PM ET) with fallback to last valid Pyth price or official exchange close. Key Quote: 'This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) on April 27, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) on the most recent prior trading day.'
  • Kalshi: Absolute price-level band market. Resolves Yes if end-of-day QQQ value on April 27 falls within ANY of 30 specified 100-point ranges (e.g., 25300–25399.99, 25400–25499.99, ..., 28000–28099.99, or above 28099.99). Resolves No if value falls in any of the 10 gaps (e.g., 25200–25299.99, 25800–25899.99, etc.). Key Quote: 'If the end-of-day Nasdaq 100 index value on April 27, 2026 is between [X] and [Y], then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.