TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Ligue 1 professional soccer match between Olympique Lyonnais and OGC Nice scheduled for February 15, 2026. Markets are offered across Kalshi and Polymarket, with separate binary contracts for Lyon win, Nice win, and draw outcomes, all settled on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation and postponement handling differs between platforms. Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation clause, while Polymarket specifies different resolutions for win markets (No) versus draw market (Yes) in case of outright cancellation with no make-up game.Hero Tip:
Monitor official Ligue 1 announcements for any postponement or cancellation. If the game is postponed but rescheduled, both platforms should remain open and resolve on the completed match. If canceled outright with no make-up, Polymarket's draw market will resolve Yes while its win markets resolve No; Kalshi's behavior is undefined and requires platform clarification before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Treats all three outcomes (Lyon win, Nice win, Draw/Tie) symmetrically. Each resolves to Yes if that outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Key Quote: 'If Tie wins the Lyon vs Nice professional Ligue 1 soccer game originally scheduled for Feb 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Offers three separate binary markets with asymmetric cancellation handling. Lyon win and Nice win markets resolve No on outright cancellation; draw market resolves Yes on outright cancellation. Postponed games remain open until completion. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (draw) vs. 'this market will resolve to No' (win markets).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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