TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball game between Morgan State Bears and North Carolina Central Eagles scheduled for February 16, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (outright winner), multiple point spreads, and over/under total points across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (either team winning) resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable and creating guaranteed arbitrage. Polymarket markets are logically sound and consistent.Hero Tip:
Avoid the Kalshi market entirely until it is corrected. The market as written violates basic binary logic—both Yes and No outcomes cannot both be true. This is likely a template error in the market description. Trade only Polymarket markets, which have clear, mutually exclusive resolution paths for moneyline, spreads, and totals.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Moneyline resolves to team name of winner. Spreads resolve Yes if NCCE wins by stated margin or more, otherwise Morgan State. Totals resolve Over if combined score >= threshold, else Under. All markets include: postponement = hold open; cancellation with no makeup = 50-50 split. Resolution based on final score including overtime.Kalshi:
Moneyline states: 'If North Carolina Central wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Morgan St. wins...resolves to Yes'. Both outcomes map to Yes, creating logical impossibility. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided in source data.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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