TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Montana Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Total volume:
$22,732
Volume 24h:
$647
6,018%
Liquidity:
$38,209
60%
Open interest:
$7,819
2%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Montana. If no 2026 Montana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Montana Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi resolve based on which candidate wins the Montana Democratic Senate primary nomination, with identical logic requiring the individual to be declared the official nominee by the Democratic Party.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Montana Democratic Party announcement of the primary results and nominee selectionCore resolution logic:
- Market resolves YES if and only if the named individual wins the Democratic primary and is declared the official Democratic nominee for the 2026 Montana Senate seat.
- Market resolves NO if the individual does not win the primary, withdraws, or declines the nomination.
- Exactly ONE candidate market in the group will resolve YES; all others resolve NO.
- If no Democratic primary takes place, all individual candidate markets resolve to NO and the 'other candidate' market resolves YES.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- No Primary Held: If the 2026 Montana Democratic Senate Primary does not take place, all named candidate markets resolve NO and the 'another candidate' market resolves YES per Polymarket's explicit rule.
- Post-Nomination Withdrawal: If a candidate wins the primary but withdraws or declines the nomination before official party acceptance, that market resolves NO.
- Resolution Source Hierarchy: Primary source is official Montana Democratic Party announcement; overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice if party announcement is delayed or unavailable.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official Montana Democratic Party announcement of the primary results and formal nomination, not upon primary voting completion alone.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.