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406,422

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2,688

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61%

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How many jobless claims during the week ending Feb 21?
polymarket
kalshi

How many jobless claims during the week ending Feb 21?

Volume:
$34,857

At least 200000

 - Kalshi

At least 200000 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 26, 2026

Closed: Feb 26, 9:55 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

At least 200000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,026
N/A
N/A
$3,997
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 210000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,796
N/A
N/A
$3,522
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 205000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,627
N/A
N/A
$2,303
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 195000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,292
N/A
N/A
$1,169
Settled
Yes
polymarket

210k-220k

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$447
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 190000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$224
N/A
N/A
$224
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 230000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,743
N/A
N/A
$5,378
Settled
No
kalshi

At least 220000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,082
N/A
N/A
$4,049
Settled
No
kalshi

At least 225000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,840
N/A
N/A
$4,410
Settled
No
kalshi

At least 215000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,773
N/A
N/A
$2,606
Settled
No
polymarket

240k+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$581
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

At least 240000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$362
N/A
N/A
$361
Settled
No
polymarket

230k-240k

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$242
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

200k-210k

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$232
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

220k-230k

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$232
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

190k-200k

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$202
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<190k

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$156
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 17

Description

This event group tracks the number of seasonally adjusted initial jobless claims filed in the US during the week ending February 21, 2026, as reported by the U.S. Department of Labor. Both Polymarket and Kalshi offer markets on this metric, with Polymarket using bracket ranges and Kalshi using threshold-based binary outcomes.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms use the identical official DOL report as the single authoritative source, with consistent interpretation of the seasonally adjusted initial claims figure for the week ending February 21, 2026.Primary resolution logic: U.S. Department of Labor Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report released for the week ending February 21, 2026 (https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf)

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the seasonally adjusted initial jobless claims figure published in the DOL Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report for the week ending February 21, 2026
  • Polymarket bracket markets resolve YES if the reported value falls within or above the specified range; if the value falls exactly between two brackets, the higher bracket resolves YES
  • Kalshi threshold markets resolve YES if the reported value is greater than or equal to the stated threshold
  • The report is typically released on Thursday at 8:30 ET, referencing data for the previous week ending Saturday

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • No Report Released: If no DOL Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report for the week ending February 21, 2026 is released within 14 calendar days of the reference week end, Polymarket markets resolve to the lowest bracket (less than 190k). Kalshi markets would likely face cancellation or extension pending clarification.
  • Exact Bracket Boundary (Polymarket): If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary (e.g., exactly 220k), the market resolves to the higher range bracket per Polymarket rules.
  • Revised Data: If the DOL releases a revised figure for the week ending February 21, 2026 after initial publication, resolution uses the first official release for that specific week, not subsequent revisions.
Timing: Resolution occurs upon release of the DOL Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report for the week ending February 21, 2026, typically on Thursday at 8:30 ET. Polymarket may resolve as soon as the report is released; if no report is released within 14 calendar days of February 21, 2026, Polymarket defaults to lowest bracket resolution.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.