How many jobless claims during the week ending Feb 21?
Volume:
$34,857
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24h
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Description
This event group tracks the number of seasonally adjusted initial jobless claims filed in the US during the week ending February 21, 2026, as reported by the U.S. Department of Labor. Both Polymarket and Kalshi offer markets on this metric, with Polymarket using bracket ranges and Kalshi using threshold-based binary outcomes.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms use the identical official DOL report as the single authoritative source, with consistent interpretation of the seasonally adjusted initial claims figure for the week ending February 21, 2026.
Primary resolution logic:
U.S. Department of Labor Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report released for the week ending February 21, 2026 (https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf)
Core resolution logic:
Resolution is based on the seasonally adjusted initial jobless claims figure published in the DOL Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report for the week ending February 21, 2026
Polymarket bracket markets resolve YES if the reported value falls within or above the specified range; if the value falls exactly between two brackets, the higher bracket resolves YES
Kalshi threshold markets resolve YES if the reported value is greater than or equal to the stated threshold
The report is typically released on Thursday at 8:30 ET, referencing data for the previous week ending Saturday
Edge cases & Clarifications:
No Report Released: If no DOL Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report for the week ending February 21, 2026 is released within 14 calendar days of the reference week end, Polymarket markets resolve to the lowest bracket (less than 190k). Kalshi markets would likely face cancellation or extension pending clarification.
Exact Bracket Boundary (Polymarket): If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary (e.g., exactly 220k), the market resolves to the higher range bracket per Polymarket rules.
Revised Data: If the DOL releases a revised figure for the week ending February 21, 2026 after initial publication, resolution uses the first official release for that specific week, not subsequent revisions.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon release of the DOL Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report for the week ending February 21, 2026, typically on Thursday at 8:30 ET. Polymarket may resolve as soon as the report is released; if no report is released within 14 calendar days of February 21, 2026, Polymarket defaults to lowest bracket resolution.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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