This event group covers the Bundesliga match between Eintracht Frankfurt and Borussia Mönchengladbach scheduled for February 14, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket track three mutually exclusive outcomes: Frankfurt win, Mönchengladbach win, or draw. Resolution is based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
Cancellation and postponement handling differs between platforms. Polymarket explicitly addresses cancellation scenarios with asymmetric resolution (draw Yes, wins No); Kalshi provides no cancellation clause, creating ambiguity.
Hero Tip:
Traders should assume Polymarket's explicit cancellation rules will govern if the game is canceled. For Kalshi, seek clarification on cancellation handling before the event date. If postponement occurs, both platforms keep markets open pending completion.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate markets with explicit cancellation logic: Mönchengladbach win resolves No if canceled; Frankfurt win resolves No if canceled; draw resolves Yes if canceled with no makeup. All markets remain open if postponed. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No' (wins) or 'Yes' (draw).
Kalshi:
Three markets (Tie, M'gladbach win, Frankfurt win) all resolve to Yes if the specified outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Quote: 'If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes' (and similarly for each outcome).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
World Cup Winner
Will the Spain win the 2026 Men's World Cup?17%
2026 NBA Champion
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?63%
English Premier League Winner
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?100%
Finals Series Winner: New York vs San Antonio
Will the New York win the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals?63%
2026 NHL Stanley Cup Champion
Will Nikolaj Ehlers record the most goals in the Stanley Cup Finals® of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?85%
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.