TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026?
Total volume:
$604
Volume 24h:
$0
0%
Liquidity:
$297
2%
Open interest:
$248
0%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Decriminalize Adult Commercial Sexual Activity bill (SB26-097) (https://leg.colorado.gov/bills/sb26-097) is passed by both chambers of the Colorado General Assembly and becomes law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source is official information from the government of Colorado; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Source data mismatch: Polymarket contains a specific Colorado sex work decriminalization question (SB26-097), while Kalshi data provided lists seven unrelated state legislative questions with no mention of Colorado or sex work. This indicates either incorrect data mapping, a data integrity failure, or that Kalshi does not host a corresponding market on this topic.Hero Tip:
Do not assume these platforms are pricing the same event. Verify directly with Kalshi that a market on Colorado SB26-097 exists and retrieve its actual resolution criteria. If Kalshi has no such market, this is not a unified event group and arbitrage/consensus analysis is invalid.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Specific question: Colorado bill SB26-097 (Decriminalize Adult Commercial Sexual Activity) becomes law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Resolution source: official Colorado government or credible reporting consensus. Binary YES/NO outcome tied to passage and enactment of one specific bill.
- Kalshi: Data provided contains seven unrelated state legislative questions (PA minimum wage, IL AI, GA cannabis, MA energy, CA AI systems, NY health data, OH drag) with January 1, 2027 deadlines. No question on Colorado sex work decriminalization is present in the source data.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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