TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$244,265,276
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,349,697,137
578,254
Markets across
14,382
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,099
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers three interconnected prediction markets on the CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla Liga MX soccer match scheduled for March 7, 2026. Markets track whether Pachuca wins, Puebla wins, or the match ends in a draw, all measured at 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only). The group consolidates resolution logic from Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation resolution differs between platforms. Polymarket's draw market resolves Yes on cancellation with no makeup game, while its win markets resolve No; Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation clause, creating ambiguity in how a canceled match would settle across the three mutually exclusive outcome markets.Hero Tip:
Monitor for any postponement or cancellation announcements. On Polymarket, the draw market acts as a cancellation hedge (resolves Yes), while win markets resolve No. Kalshi's behavior on cancellation is undefined—contact support for clarification before the match date. If the game is postponed but rescheduled, both platforms remain open until completion, so timing risk is low.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate markets with explicit cancellation rules. Pachuca win market: resolves No on cancellation. Puebla win market: resolves No on cancellation. Draw market: resolves Yes on cancellation with no makeup. All three measure 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve [Yes for draw / No for win markets].'Kalshi:
Three separate binary markets, each resolving Yes if its outcome occurs (Pachuca win, Puebla win, or Tie). No explicit cancellation clause provided. All three measure 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Ambiguity: unclear how a canceled match resolves across these mutually exclusive outcomes. Key quote: 'If [outcome] wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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