TOTAL VOLUME:
$62.1b
24H VOL:
$235,216,568
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,147,874
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,359,678,827
584,153
Markets across
14,438
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,188
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Saturday, March 28, 2026 between Canada and Iceland.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market rules contain a logical contradiction: all three outcomes (Canada win, Iceland win, Tie) are listed as resolving to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket provides three separate, mutually exclusive markets with coherent resolution logic. This is a data integrity failure on Kalshi's platform.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's Canada vs Iceland markets until the rules are corrected. The platform cannot resolve these markets as written because every possible outcome triggers a Yes resolution. Polymarket's three separate markets (Canada win, Iceland win, Draw) are logically sound and tradeable.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: Contains a logical contradiction. The three market rules state that Canada winning resolves to Yes, Iceland winning resolves to Yes, AND a tie resolves to Yes. Since exactly one of these three outcomes must occur, the market will always resolve Yes regardless of the actual match result. Key quote: 'If Canada wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Iceland wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Aligned with sound resolution logic: Provides three separate, mutually exclusive markets—one for Canada win (resolves Yes only if Canada wins), one for Iceland win (resolves Yes only if Iceland wins), and one for Draw (resolves Yes only if the match ends in a draw). All other outcomes resolve to No. Key quote: 'If Canada wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.' This structure ensures exactly one market resolves Yes and the others resolve No, matching the three possible match outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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