TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between BYU Cougars and Arizona State Sun Devils scheduled for February 25, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET. Markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement and cancellation scenarios.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (BYU win and ASU win) resolve to the identical result (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi version of this market. The platform's resolution logic is broken—both teams winning produces the same market outcome, which violates basic binary market principles. Polymarket's structure is sound and should be the exclusive trading venue for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Coherent binary structure with mutually exclusive outcomes. BYU victory resolves to BYU Cougars; ASU victory resolves to Arizona State Sun Devils. Includes sensible edge-case handling: postponement extends market; total cancellation resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.Kalshi:
Logically defective. Both BYU win and ASU win are stated to resolve to Yes, creating an impossible condition where the market cannot distinguish between outcomes. This is a critical structural flaw that makes the market unresolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.