Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi resolve based on the official match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 22, 2026, with identical handling of postponements and cancellations across all three possible outcomes (Potosí win, Guabirá win, draw).
Primary resolution logic:
Official statistics from the Bolivian Football League (LFPB - lfpb.com.bo) or, if unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion, consensus of credible reporting.
Core resolution logic:
Market resolves based on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
Polymarket Potosí Win resolves YES if Potosí wins, NO otherwise.
Polymarket Draw resolves YES if the match ends in a draw, NO otherwise.
Polymarket Guabirá Win resolves YES if Guabirá wins, NO otherwise.
Kalshi resolves YES for any outcome (Potosí win, Guabirá win, or draw) that occurs.
If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until completion.
If the match is canceled with no make-up game, Polymarket Potosí and Guabirá markets resolve NO, Draw market resolves YES; Kalshi resolves NO for all outcomes.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets on both platforms remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed.
Match Cancellation Without Make-up: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, Polymarket's Potosí and Guabirá win markets resolve NO while the Draw market resolves YES. Kalshi resolves NO for all outcomes.
Resolution Source Hierarchy: Primary source is official LFPB statistics. If official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting consensus is used as fallback.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official announcement of the final match result by the governing body or event organizers, or within 2 hours thereafter if official statistics are unavailable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
World Cup Winner
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?17%
2026 NBA Champion
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?63%
English Premier League Winner
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?100%
Finals Series Winner: New York vs San Antonio
Will the New York win the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals?63%
2026 NHL Stanley Cup Champion
Will Logan Stankoven record the most goals in the Stanley Cup Finals® of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?97%
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.