TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
ZED FC vs. El Mokawloon El Arab SC
Volume:
$65,939
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
ZED FC and El Mokawloon El Arab SC are scheduled to compete in an Egyptian Premier League match on April 6, 2026. This event group contains three mutually exclusive outcome markets: ZED FC win, El Mokawloon El Arab SC win, and draw. All markets resolve based on the result within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket structures three separate binary markets (ZED win, Draw, El Mokawloon win) where exactly one resolves YES, while Kalshi presents three mutually exclusive outcome markets that all resolve YES simultaneously, creating a logical contradiction in Kalshi's design.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi markets in this group — the resolution logic is fundamentally broken. Kalshi's three markets cannot all resolve YES at the same time (a match cannot end in a ZED win AND a tie AND an El Mokawloon win). Polymarket's three separate binary markets are logically sound and resolvable. Treat Kalshi as unresolvable until corrected.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Outlier (sound logic): Polymarket creates three mutually exclusive binary markets where exactly one outcome occurs and exactly one market resolves YES. ZED win market resolves YES if ZED wins, Draw market resolves YES if match ends in a draw, El Mokawloon win market resolves YES if El Mokawloon wins. All three use the same primary source (official EFA statistics or credible consensus within 2 hours post-match) and scope (90 minutes plus stoppage time only). Cancellation with no make-up resolves the win markets to NO and the draw market to YES.
- Kalshi: Outlier (logical contradiction): Kalshi presents three outcome markets with identical resolution criteria: 'If [outcome] occurs, then the market resolves to Yes.' This means all three markets would resolve YES simultaneously if any outcome occurs, which is impossible. The market structure violates basic logic — a single match cannot simultaneously satisfy 'Zed wins', 'Tie wins', and 'Al Mokawloon wins'. No cancellation or postponement rules are specified, and no primary resolution source is documented.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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