TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Youngstown State Penguins vs. IU Indy Jaguars (W)
kalshi
polymarket

Youngstown State Penguins vs. IU Indy Jaguars (W)

Volume:
$57,678

Youngstown St.

 - Kalshi

Youngstown St. - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 15, 2026

Youngstown St. at IU Indy Winner?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 100¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Youngstown St.

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
-$2,256
$21,714
0%
0%
$15,571
N/A
polymarket

Youngstown State Penguins vs. IU Indy Jaguars (W)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$260
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

IU Indy

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$5,821
$35,704
0%
0%
$29,340
N/A
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Youngstown State Penguins and IU Indy Jaguars scheduled for February 15, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. Markets across platforms resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponements and cancellations.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution criteria are logically contradictory, resolving to Yes for both possible outcomes (either team winning). Polymarket uses a categorical resolution model that properly distinguishes between the two teams. These are fundamentally incompatible settlement frameworks.Hero tip: Kalshi's market is unresolvable as written. The resolution logic violates basic binary market principles by assigning Yes to mutually exclusive outcomes. Polymarket's structure is sound. Recommend immediate escalation of Kalshi to settlement operations and trading suspension pending correction.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if IU Indy wins AND Yes if Youngstown St. wins. Quote: 'If IU Indy wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If Youngstown St. wins...resolves to Yes'. This creates a logical contradiction where both outcomes map to the same resolution value.
  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'Youngstown State Penguins' if they win or 'IU Indy Jaguars' if they win, with 50-50 split on full cancellation and postponement provisions. Quote: 'If the Youngstown State Penguins win, the market will resolve to Youngstown State Penguins. If the IU Indy Jaguars win, the market will resolve to IU Indy Jaguars.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.