TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Youngstown State Penguins vs. IU Indy Jaguars (W)
Volume:
$57,678
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Youngstown State Penguins and IU Indy Jaguars scheduled for February 15, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. Markets across platforms resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponements and cancellations.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution criteria are logically contradictory, resolving to Yes for both possible outcomes (either team winning). Polymarket uses a categorical resolution model that properly distinguishes between the two teams. These are fundamentally incompatible settlement frameworks.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market is unresolvable as written. The resolution logic violates basic binary market principles by assigning Yes to mutually exclusive outcomes. Polymarket's structure is sound. Recommend immediate escalation of Kalshi to settlement operations and trading suspension pending correction.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if IU Indy wins AND Yes if Youngstown St. wins. Quote: 'If IU Indy wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If Youngstown St. wins...resolves to Yes'. This creates a logical contradiction where both outcomes map to the same resolution value.
- Polymarket: Resolves to 'Youngstown State Penguins' if they win or 'IU Indy Jaguars' if they win, with 50-50 split on full cancellation and postponement provisions. Quote: 'If the Youngstown State Penguins win, the market will resolve to Youngstown State Penguins. If the IU Indy Jaguars win, the market will resolve to IU Indy Jaguars.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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