A men's college basketball game between Youngstown State Penguins and Detroit Titans scheduled for February 15, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spreads at multiple thresholds (-2.5 and -3.5), and total points over/under at multiple lines (150.5, 151.5, and 152.5).
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Detroit Mercy win and Youngstown St. win) resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable and guaranteeing payout. This is a data integrity failure. Polymarket and Kalshi spread/total markets use consistent, resolvable logic.
Hero Tip:
The Kalshi moneyline is broken and should not be traded. All spread and total markets (Polymarket and Kalshi) are consistent and resolvable. Confirm the game venue is Detroit Mercy before settlement, as team names suggest potential venue mismatch (Youngstown State vs. Detroit Titans/Mercy).
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Moneyline market states: If Detroit Mercy wins, resolves Yes. If Youngstown St. wins, resolves Yes. Both outcomes trigger Yes resolution, creating a logical impossibility and guaranteed payout regardless of actual game result.
Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to winner name (Youngstown State Penguins or Detroit Titans). Spreads resolve based on margin of victory. Totals resolve based on combined points. Cancellation without makeup triggers 50-50 split. All logic is internally consistent and resolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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