TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Sports
Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kawasaki Frontale
kalshi
polymarket

Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kawasaki Frontale

Volume:
$472,812

Frontale

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 18, 2026

Closed: Apr 18, 3:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Frontale

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$111,666
N/A
N/A
$70,354
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Kawasaki Frontale

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$55,801
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$186,513
N/A
N/A
$123,006
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kawasaki Frontale)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,483
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Marinos

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$90,810
N/A
N/A
$66,481
Settled
No
polymarket

Yokohama F·Marinos

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,539
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

Yokohama F·Marinos and Kawasaki Frontale will compete in a J.League match on April 18, 2026. The markets assess three mutually exclusive outcomes: a Yokohama win, a Kawasaki win, or a draw. All resolutions are based on the result within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with postponements kept open until completion and cancellations treated as either 'No' (for win markets) or 'Yes' (for draw market).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market structure is logically incoherent: all three possible match outcomes (Marinos win, Frontale win, Tie) resolve to YES, making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating a logical contradiction with Polymarket's mutually exclusive binary markets.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi market. It contains a fatal logical flaw where every possible outcome resolves YES, making it impossible to determine a true settlement value. Polymarket's three separate binary markets (Marinos win, Frontale win, Draw) are the only coherent resolution framework for this match.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three mutually exclusive binary markets: (1) Marinos win resolves YES only if Marinos wins in 90+stoppage minutes, NO otherwise; (2) Draw resolves YES only if match ends in a draw, NO otherwise; (3) Frontale win resolves YES only if Frontale wins, NO otherwise. Exactly one market resolves YES. Resolution source: official J-League statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours of match conclusion. Cancellation with no makeup resolves the win markets to NO and the draw market to YES.
  • Kalshi: Single market with three resolution conditions, all resolving to YES: 'If Tie wins... resolves to Yes. If Marinos wins... resolves to Yes. If Frontale wins... resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where the market always resolves YES regardless of match outcome, violating basic binary market principles.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.