TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kawasaki Frontale
Volume:
$472,812
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
Yokohama F·Marinos and Kawasaki Frontale will compete in a J.League match on April 18, 2026. The markets assess three mutually exclusive outcomes: a Yokohama win, a Kawasaki win, or a draw. All resolutions are based on the result within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with postponements kept open until completion and cancellations treated as either 'No' (for win markets) or 'Yes' (for draw market).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market structure is logically incoherent: all three possible match outcomes (Marinos win, Frontale win, Tie) resolve to YES, making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating a logical contradiction with Polymarket's mutually exclusive binary markets.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. It contains a fatal logical flaw where every possible outcome resolves YES, making it impossible to determine a true settlement value. Polymarket's three separate binary markets (Marinos win, Frontale win, Draw) are the only coherent resolution framework for this match.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three mutually exclusive binary markets: (1) Marinos win resolves YES only if Marinos wins in 90+stoppage minutes, NO otherwise; (2) Draw resolves YES only if match ends in a draw, NO otherwise; (3) Frontale win resolves YES only if Frontale wins, NO otherwise. Exactly one market resolves YES. Resolution source: official J-League statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours of match conclusion. Cancellation with no makeup resolves the win markets to NO and the draw market to YES.
- Kalshi: Single market with three resolution conditions, all resolving to YES: 'If Tie wins... resolves to Yes. If Marinos wins... resolves to Yes. If Frontale wins... resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where the market always resolves YES regardless of match outcome, violating basic binary market principles.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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