TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Yokohama F·Marinos vs. FC Tōkyō
kalshi
polymarket

Yokohama F·Marinos vs. FC Tōkyō

Volume:
$255,021

FC Tōkyō

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 11, 2026

Closed: Apr 11, 2:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

FC Tōkyō

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$81,286
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tokyo

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$47,718
N/A
N/A
$26,111
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Marinos

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$72,629
N/A
N/A
$56,724
Settled
No
polymarket

Yokohama F·Marinos

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,237
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,915
N/A
N/A
$11,317
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Yokohama F·Marinos vs. FC Tōkyō)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,235
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the professional Japan J1 League soccer match between Yokohama F·Marinos and FC Tōkyō scheduled for April 11, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket track the three possible outcomes: Marinos win, Tōkyō win, or draw, all evaluated at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi presents outcome markets with ambiguous mutual exclusivity language, while Polymarket uses explicit binary exclusivity. Both platforms agree on the core evaluation window (90 minutes plus stoppage time) and primary resolution source (official J-League statistics).Hero tip: Both platforms resolve based on official J-League statistics within 2 hours post-match, with fallback to credible reporting consensus. The divergence is structural presentation, not substantive outcome logic. Treat all three outcomes as mutually exclusive across both platforms. Monitor for game postponement or cancellation: Polymarket keeps draw market open if postponed but resolves No on cancellation (unless rescheduled); Kalshi does not specify postponement handling.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Three separate markets each resolving to Yes for their respective outcome (Tokyo win, Tie, Marinos win). Market structure implies mutual exclusivity but wording states each resolves Yes independently. Quote: 'If Tokyo wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Marinos wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Three distinct binary markets with explicit mutual exclusivity: Draw market (Yes if draw, No otherwise), Marinos win market (Yes if Marinos wins, No otherwise), Tōkyō win market (Yes if Tōkyō wins, No otherwise). Quote: 'If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.