TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Yokohama F·Marinos vs. FC Tōkyō
Volume:
$255,021
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the professional Japan J1 League soccer match between Yokohama F·Marinos and FC Tōkyō scheduled for April 11, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket track the three possible outcomes: Marinos win, Tōkyō win, or draw, all evaluated at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi presents outcome markets with ambiguous mutual exclusivity language, while Polymarket uses explicit binary exclusivity. Both platforms agree on the core evaluation window (90 minutes plus stoppage time) and primary resolution source (official J-League statistics).Hero Tip:
Both platforms resolve based on official J-League statistics within 2 hours post-match, with fallback to credible reporting consensus. The divergence is structural presentation, not substantive outcome logic. Treat all three outcomes as mutually exclusive across both platforms. Monitor for game postponement or cancellation: Polymarket keeps draw market open if postponed but resolves No on cancellation (unless rescheduled); Kalshi does not specify postponement handling.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Three separate markets each resolving to Yes for their respective outcome (Tokyo win, Tie, Marinos win). Market structure implies mutual exclusivity but wording states each resolves Yes independently. Quote: 'If Tokyo wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Marinos wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Three distinct binary markets with explicit mutual exclusivity: Draw market (Yes if draw, No otherwise), Marinos win market (Yes if Marinos wins, No otherwise), Tōkyō win market (Yes if Tōkyō wins, No otherwise). Quote: 'If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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