TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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XRP Up or Down - March 10, 5PM ET
polymarket
kalshi

XRP Up or Down - March 10, 5PM ET

Volume:
$5,867

$1.37991 or above

 - Kalshi

$1.37991 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 18, 2026

Closed: Mar 10, 5:05 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$1.37991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,721
N/A
N/A
$274
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.33991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$813
N/A
N/A
$336
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.35991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$394
N/A
N/A
$282
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.31991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$171
N/A
N/A
$171
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.47991 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,463
N/A
N/A
$1,463
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.39991 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$952
N/A
N/A
$740
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.43991 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$252
N/A
N/A
$252
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.41991 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$49
N/A
N/A
$49
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.51991 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27
N/A
N/A
$27
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.45991 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
$15
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.61991 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7
N/A
N/A
$7
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.67991 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
$3
Settled
No
polymarket

XRP Up or Down - March 10, 5PM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.17991 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.23991 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.59991 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.27991 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.53991 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.19991 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.07991 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.03991 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.21991 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.01991 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.65991 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.97991 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 41

Description

This event group tracks whether XRP/USD will close higher than or equal to its opening price during a specific 1-hour candle on March 10, 2026 at 5 PM ET. Polymarket uses Binance XRP/USDT spot prices, while Kalshi uses CF Benchmarks' Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) with multiple price thresholds.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi measure fundamentally different settlement concepts: Polymarket resolves on directional price movement (close vs open comparison on a 1H candle), while Kalshi resolves on absolute price levels against 40 distinct thresholds using a different data source (CF Benchmarks RTI vs Binance spot).Hero tip: Do not assume these markets are interchangeable. Polymarket tells you if XRP moved up or down during the hour; Kalshi tells you if XRP's 60-second average price at exactly 5 PM ET exceeded specific levels. The data sources differ (Binance spot vs CF Benchmarks RTI), and timing precision differs (1H candle close vs 60-second average). Choose your platform based on which settlement method and data source you trust.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary directional resolution based on 1-hour candle open vs close on Binance XRP/USDT. Resolves Up if close >= open, Down otherwise. Source: Binance XRP/USDT pair displayed at top of 1H chart. Key Quote: 'The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized.'
  • Kalshi: 40 separate threshold-based markets, each resolving Yes if the 60-second simple average of CF Benchmarks XRPUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT exceeds a specific price level (ranging from 0.8999 to 1.6799). Key Quote: 'If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT is above [threshold] at 5 PM EDT on Mar 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.